boca de la tonina: weather statistics and wind history

24.4776° N, 107.896° W
11.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (14 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (31.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
12.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (14 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (31.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
13.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (31.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
14.10.2026
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (31.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
15.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (31.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
16.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (16 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (31.0°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 47% probability
17.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (16 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.9°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 30% probability
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