Farewell spit: weather statistics and wind history

40.5096° S, 172.766° E
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.0 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (24.3 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 18.0 m/s vs ICON Global 12.8 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.7 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 15.7 m/s vs ICON Global 9.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (20.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (27.9 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (GFS27 20.3 m/s vs ICON Global 12.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.2 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (25.6 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (GFS27 17.2 m/s vs ICON Global 10.2 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 14.9 m/s vs ICON Global 9.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
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