Cape Jackson: weather statistics and wind history

40.9945° S, 174.264° E
15.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.6 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (26.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
16.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (21.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (24.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
17.10.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.2 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
18.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
19.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 14.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
20.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 13.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
21.10.2026
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (15.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
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