Lyall Bay, Wellington: weather statistics and wind history

41.3297° S, 174.798° E
05.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 30% probability
06.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.8 m/s, gusts 17.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
07.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 12.8 m/s, gusts 18.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
08.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 15.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
09.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
10.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
11.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 43% probability
*Experimental

New feature: Breeze Index! See how likely a breeze is to form, right in the forecast. Available in weather alerts and the meteogram.

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