Lyall Bay, Wellington: weather statistics and wind history

41.3297° S, 174.798° E
29.09.2026
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • High breeze chance — 80% probability
30.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
01.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 15.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
02.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 14.1 m/s, gusts 19.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
03.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 12.8 m/s, gusts 18.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 75% probability
  • High breeze chance — 75% probability
04.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
05.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 28% probability
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