Cascade: weather statistics and wind history

44.0267° S, 168.365° E
06.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
07.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
08.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
09.10.2026
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 39% probability
10.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
11.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
12.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.8 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
*Experimental

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