cabo cortado: weather statistics and wind history

52.7933° S, 74.5224° W
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (5.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.0 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (21.8 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 18.0 m/s vs LEW 12.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (ICON Global 13.0 m/s vs ECMWF 7.5 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.9 m/s) (ICON Global 12.4 m/s vs LEW 4.5 m/s)
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (ICON Global 9.9 m/s vs LEW 3.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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