Capital BMX: weather statistics and wind history

41.2783° S, 174.754° E
25.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
26.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.3 m/s, gusts 15.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
27.09.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.4 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.6 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
28.09.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
29.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
30.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 75% probability
  • High breeze chance — 75% probability
01.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 12.3 m/s, gusts 15.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
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