Earnse bay, Walney: weather statistics and wind history

54.1201° N, 3.28045° W
17.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
18.10.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
19.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
20.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
21.10.2026
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
22.10.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
23.10.2026
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (23.9 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (31.3 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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