Bear Rocks: weather statistics and wind history

57.272° N, 154.735° W
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (ICON Global 10.4 m/s vs LEW 5.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ECMWF 12.8 m/s vs LEW 6.9 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.8 m/s) (GFS27 11.8 m/s vs LEW 4.1 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
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