- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (AROME 11.2 m/s vs ICON Global 3.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability