Chance Cove: weather statistics and wind history

46.7563° N, 53.0038° W
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.9°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.8 m/s, gusts 15.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (ICON Global 11.5 m/s vs ECMWF 5.7 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 41% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.1°C)
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.1 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
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