Fan Lake (AK): weather statistics and wind history

51.8889° N, 177.323° E
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.1°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 31% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 7.6 m/s vs ICON Global 2.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.1°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 28% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (19.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (29.6 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 19.3 m/s vs ECMWF 12.2 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.5 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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