- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (ECMWF 10.9 m/s vs GFS27 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 5.2 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability