Cabo Raso: weather statistics and wind history

44.3378° S, 65.2479° W
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 14.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.1°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.6 m/s, gusts 19.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.1°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 14.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • High breeze chance — 79% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 17.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 14.3 m/s vs ICON Global 9.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ICON Global 8.9 m/s vs LEW 3.5 m/s)
  • Low breeze chance — 32% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
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