Frankston: weather statistics and wind history

38.14° S, 145.11° E
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.7 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.0°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (ECMWF 11.1 m/s vs LEW 4.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 32% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.2 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
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