Lancelin Beach: weather statistics and wind history

31.0245° S, 115.328° E
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (1.9 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.2 m)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
  • High breeze chance — 88% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 8.0 m/s vs ACCESS-C 2.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.3 m)
  • Low breeze chance — 45% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.3 m)
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low breeze chance — 28% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
18.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.6 m/s) (GFS27 13.5 m/s vs ICON Global 5.8 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (4.0 m)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
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