- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 15.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (GFS27 14.8 m/s vs LEW 7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (GFS27 14.0 m/s vs ICON Global 6.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)