- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 12.0 m/s vs ICON Global 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 12.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.0°C)