Kommetjie: 気象統計と風の歴史

34.1391° S, 18.3197° E
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 10.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 26% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 45% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.3 m/s vs ICON Global 3.1 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 13.9 m/s vs ICON Global 7.5 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.0 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 15.0 m/s vs LEW 8.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.6 m/s vs ICON Global 6.1 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
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