- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.8 m/s, gusts 15.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ECMWF 13.1 m/s vs LEW 7.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (ECMWF 13.1 m/s vs GFS27 5.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.2°C)