- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 13.7 m/s vs LEW 7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 13.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 14.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 88% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 5.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 73% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)