- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 13.0 m/s vs LEW 7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 12.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ICON Global 11.1 m/s vs ECMWF 5.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability