- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (AROME 9.8 m/s vs LEW 4.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs ECMWF 4.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability