- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (AROME 9.8 m/s vs LEW 4.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 15.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.1 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs ECMWF 4.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability