Bottle point: statistiques météorologiques et historique du vent

40.7511° S, 173.831° E
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs ICON Global 7.5 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 38% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (LEW 11.2 m/s vs ECMWF 4.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.0°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 36% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 13.7 m/s, gusts 16.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
18.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
*Experimental

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