Bottle point: 気象統計と風の歴史

40.7511° S, 173.831° E
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.6 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (20.6 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 13.2 m/s vs ICON Global 6.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (19.5 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (24.0 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.1 m/s) (GFS27 19.5 m/s vs ICON Global 11.4 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (LEW 10.7 m/s vs ICON Global 3.6 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.8 m/s) (GFS27 14.6 m/s vs ICON Global 5.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.7 m/s) (LEW 13.2 m/s vs ICON Global 4.6 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
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