- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.8 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.4 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 15.8 m/s vs LEW 10.2 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.4 m/s, gusts 15.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (12.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.8 m/s, gusts 15.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability