- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 9.9 m/s vs ECMWF 4.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability