- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (ECMWF 11.1 m/s vs LEW 5.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (AROME 9.9 m/s vs LEW 3.5 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 5.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs LEW 5.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability