- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs AROME 6.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 86% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 62% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 82% probability