- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- High water temperature (25.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 12.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 9.1 m/s vs ICON Global 3.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)