- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 12.0 m/s vs AROME 6.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (LEW 9.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (LEW 11.7 m/s vs ECMWF 6.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)