11.09.2026 (Friday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 8.5 m/s vs ICON Global 3.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 9.2 m/s vs HRRR 4.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 10.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.3°C)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
