- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (HRRR 9.7 m/s vs ICON Global 4.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability