- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (ICON EU 14.6 m/s vs GFS27 7.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.9 m/s) (GFS27 11.5 m/s vs ECMWF 3.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability