- Good kite forecast: wind 10.7 m/s, gusts 16.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 16.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.3°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 12.0 m/s vs ECMWF 7.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (GFS27 15.1 m/s vs ECMWF 8.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (19.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)