- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.7 m/s) (GFS27 14.8 m/s vs ECMWF 5.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.4 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability