- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.3 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs AROME 1.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.4 m/s, gusts 13.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 16.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.3 m/s) (GFS27 14.6 m/s vs ECMWF 5.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.2 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.6 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 11.5 m/s) (GFS27 15.6 m/s vs ECMWF 4.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability