- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (GFS27 14.1 m/s vs ICON Global 6.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 7.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs ICON Global 4.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)