- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.4 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 16.4 m/s vs LEW 9.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs LEW 6.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 13.6 m/s vs LEW 7.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 12.8 m/s vs LEW 6.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 13.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability