- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (AROME 12.7 m/s vs LEW 7.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability