- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 12.1 m/s vs ICON Global 5.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (HRRR 14.8 m/s vs ECMWF 8.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.0°C)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.3°C)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (1.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (ECMWF 6.9 m/s vs GFS27 1.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability