- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (NAM 7.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.1 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 13.2 m/s vs ICON Global 7.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability