Elizabeth Bay: 気象統計と風の歴史

26.9101° S, 15.1843° E
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 3.0 m/s, gusts 4.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 26% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 15.0 m/s vs LEW 9.0 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (15.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.8 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.7 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.5 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 16.7 m/s vs LEW 11.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
18.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.6 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (21.5 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
19.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 17.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
20.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 16.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
*Experimental

New feature: Breeze Index! See how likely a breeze is to form, right in the forecast. Available in weather alerts and the meteogram.

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