Elizabeth Bay: 天气统计及风历史

26.9101° S, 15.1843° E
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.4 m/s vs LEW 9.0 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.6 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.6 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 16.6 m/s vs LEW 11.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
18.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.3 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (20.5 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 15.3 m/s vs LEW 9.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
19.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.3 m/s, gusts 15.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
20.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.4 m/s) (ECMWF 13.5 m/s vs LEW 4.1 m/s)
  • Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
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