K 365: 気象統計と風の歴史

34.1496° S, 18.3197° E
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 12.7 m/s, gusts 16.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ECMWF 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 7.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
  • Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 10.0 m/s vs ICON Global 3.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
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