- Good kite forecast: wind 12.7 m/s, gusts 16.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ECMWF 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 10.0 m/s vs ICON Global 3.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)