- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 13.9 m/s vs LEW 8.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 14.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 87% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)