- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 13.3 m/s vs LEW 8.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (ICON Global 11.1 m/s vs ECMWF 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)